Heat pump vs. gas furnace: which is cheaper to heat with in your state?

We priced the same heating load in every state with the latest EIA electricity and natural gas prices. An efficient heat pump is cheaper to run than a new 95% gas furnace in 15 of 51 states and D.C.

Outdoor heat pump unit next to a brick house

Photo: alpha innotec on Unsplash

Heat pump wins

15 states

Efficient heat pump vs 95% furnace
U.S. average gas

$15.34 / Mcf

EIA residential, 2025
U.S. average electricity

18.16¢ / kWh

EIA residential, Aug 2026
StateElectricityGas $/McfEfficient HPTypical HP95% furnace80% furnaceCheaper
Alabama16.33¢$17.56$647$681$706$838Heat pump
Alaska29.41¢$12.96$3,176$3,343$1,421$1,687Gas
Arizona15.05¢$18.58$379$399$475$564Heat pump
Arkansas14.37¢$19.25$673$708$914$1,086Heat pump
California29.75¢$22.01$964$1,015$724$860Gas
Colorado17.17¢$11.17$1,236$1,301$816$969Gas
Connecticut24.51¢$16.83*$1,941$2,043$1,353$1,607Gas
Delaware18.70¢$15.97$1,144$1,205$992$1,178Gas
District of Columbia25.98¢$16.68$1,496$1,575$975$1,158Gas
Florida14.99¢$25.48$243$256$419$498Heat pump
Georgia15.90¢$20.42$630$663$821$975Heat pump
Hawaii47.18¢$52.38$85$89$96$114Heat pump
Idaho13.37¢$7.69$1,011$1,064$590$701Gas
Illinois19.32¢$11.25$1,461$1,537$863$1,025Gas
Indiana17.02¢$11.49$1,225$1,290$840$997Gas
Iowa17.06¢$10.61$1,413$1,487$892$1,059Gas
Kansas15.47¢$14.81$1,002$1,055$974$1,157Gas
Kentucky13.80¢$14.23$795$837$832$988Heat pump
Louisiana12.87¢$17.39$324$341$445$528Heat pump
Maine32.11¢$18.95*$3,005$3,164$1,800$2,138Gas
Maryland21.40¢$16.14*$1,310$1,379$1,003$1,191Gas
Massachusetts30.48¢$25.06$2,524$2,657$2,106$2,501Gas
Michigan22.99¢$10.92$1,986$2,091$958$1,137Gas
Minnesota17.20¢$10.98$1,672$1,760$1,083$1,286Gas
Mississippi14.43¢$16.65$468$492$548$650Heat pump
Missouri16.02¢$14.94$980$1,032$928$1,102Gas
Montana15.57¢$8.99$1,401$1,475$821$975Gas
Nebraska13.54¢$11.40$1,024$1,077$875$1,039Gas
Nevada12.72¢$13.14$550$578$576$684Heat pump
New Hampshire27.64¢$18.61$2,488$2,619$1,700$2,019Gas
New Jersey24.61¢$14.21$1,595$1,679$935$1,110Gas
New Mexico16.51¢$9.83$892$938$539$640Gas
New York28.65¢$17.58$2,269$2,389$1,413$1,678Gas
North Carolina14.95¢$16.42*$700$736$780$926Heat pump
North Dakota13.31¢$9.50$1,390$1,463$1,007$1,196Gas
Ohio19.38¢$13.85$1,395$1,469$1,012$1,202Gas
Oklahoma14.82¢$14.38$747$786$736$874Gas
Oregon15.92¢$16.71$917$965$977$1,160Heat pump
Pennsylvania21.77¢$15.04$1,567$1,650$1,099$1,305Gas
Rhode Island28.18¢$21.66*$2,232$2,349$1,741$2,068Gas
South Carolina15.76¢$16.91*$624$657$680$807Heat pump
South Dakota15.15¢$9.86$1,364$1,435$901$1,070Gas
Tennessee13.42¢$11.84$676$712$606$719Gas
Texas15.91¢$19.42$515$543$639$758Heat pump
Utah13.31¢$10.19$910$958$708$840Gas
Vermont23.84¢$18.00$2,231$2,349$1,710$2,031Gas
Virginia17.64¢$16.79$953$1,003$920$1,093Gas
Washington14.63¢$17.62$895$942$1,095$1,300Heat pump
West Virginia16.31¢$13.80$1,057$1,113$908$1,078Gas
Wisconsin19.41¢$10.74$1,747$1,839$981$1,165Gas
Wyoming14.43¢$11.74$1,299$1,367$1,073$1,274Gas

Yearly heating cost for a 36,000 BTU/h load and each state's heating hours. Efficient heat pump = HSPF2 10; typical = HSPF2 9.5. Gas converted at 1,037 BTU per cubic foot. *2024 gas price (2025 not yet published). Methodology.

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How to read this table

The comparison holds the amount of heat constant and changes only the fuel. That isolates the one thing that differs between states: the price of electricity relative to natural gas. Where electricity is cheap compared with gas — much of the South, the Northwest and the Mountain West — heat pumps win easily. Where gas is cheap and electricity expensive — parts of the Midwest and Northeast — a high-efficiency furnace can still be cheaper for heating alone.

Three things push the real-world result further toward the heat pump: it replaces your air conditioner as well, many homes still have furnaces below 95% efficiency, and gas service carries fixed monthly charges that disappear if you go all-electric. In cold states with cheap gas, a dual-fuel system — a heat pump that hands off to a gas furnace in deep cold — often gives the lowest total bill.

Frequently asked questions

Is a heat pump cheaper to run than a gas furnace?

It depends on the ratio between your electricity and gas prices. Using EIA state averages, an efficient heat pump (HSPF2 10) has lower heating costs than a 95% gas furnace in 15 of 51 states and D.C., and beats an older 80% furnace in more.

Why is a heat pump cheaper in some states and not others?

A heat pump delivers roughly 2.5–3 units of heat per unit of electricity, while a gas furnace delivers about 0.8–0.95 units per unit of gas. Where electricity costs less than roughly three times the price of gas per unit of energy, the heat pump wins.

Does this include cooling?

No. The comparison is heating only. A heat pump also cools your home, whereas a furnace needs a separate air conditioner, so the total-cost case for a heat pump is usually stronger than these numbers show.